China's strident rhetoric on reunification with Taiwan continues, and the island's defense ministry has produced an assessment of the invasion threat.
According to Reuters, the assessment was shared with lawmakers on Monday. "Taiwan's Defense Ministry stated that because China's transport capacity is limited at the moment, it will be unable to land all of its forces in one go and will have to rely on 'non-standard' roll-on, roll-off ships that require port facilities and transport aircraft that require airports," Reuters reported.
Regarding Taiwan's military capabilities, the report noted that "... the nation's military vigorously defends ports and airports, which will not be easy to occupy in a short period." Landing operations will be fraught with danger. The nation's military benefits from the Taiwan Strait's natural moat status and may conduct coordinated intercept operations to cut off the Communist military's supplies, significantly diminishing the fighting efficiency and endurance of the landing forces."
According to the research, China would be unable to devote all of its forces to an invasion due to the need to prevent foreign action and monitor other contentious areas such as the South China Sea and India's border.
"Because US and Japanese military bases are located near Taiwan, any Chinese Communist attack would have to be constantly monitored, and Taiwan would need to have reserve forces to stave against foreign military involvement... It is difficult for China to focus all of its efforts on Taiwan," Reuters said.
US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan stated last week that the US would avert a Chinese invasion of Taiwan. According to AP Sullivan said, "The United States will take every action possible, from a deterrent and diplomacy standpoint, to ensure that the Taiwan scenario never occurs and to attempt to avert the invasion." The total of our actions in the Indo-Pacific over the last eight months has also been directed at averting any situation in which China chooses to invade."